Will Poroshenko weather the storm?

Failures and highlights of the ruling elites Ukraine’s post-Maidan government can point to some successes: the defense, energy, banking and agriculture sectors have all seen significant reforms. An electronic public procurement system is in place. Public officials have submitted to a system of electronic asset declarations intended to curb corruption. Yet public administration, law enforcement,…

The Belarusian opposition before the presidential elections: relevant trends and prospects for a single candidate strategy

  Any analysis, predictions or assessments of the situation in Belarus, processes related to the 2015 elections and strategies of the opposition and the government must take the political impact of the revolution and the military conflict in Ukraine into account. The developments in the neighbouring country have already considerably affected Belarusian domestic politics, the…

Belarus: Political Scenario for 2014

The new year will see the Belarusian political system and Belarusian society in a state of routine developments and predictability. Belarus cannot expect a social rebel, a revolution, the growing strength of the opposition, the unexpected collapse of the political system, or democratisation after a flash of genius for the leadership. There will be no…

Belarus as a challenge to Europe

Pavel Usov Nowadays a lot is being said about what the EU could have done for Belarus after December 19, 2010 and what it didn’t do. In the first place I would like to go further than assessing the efficiency of political and economic sanctions and to discuss what Europe can do for Belarus from…

If the EAU is established, Belarus for at least a few more years will be deprived of any opportunity to become a democratic European state

Russia’s presidential elections in any case affect Belarusian state and society. Close economic and political ties between two countries resemble a sort of misalliance. Recently we can observe the growing Russia’s influence in Belarus both politically (considering strained relations of Belarus with the West) and economically (ever increasing and direct expansion of the Russian business…